STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP stock forecast: down to 41.07 USD STFC stock price prognosis

STOCK

Forecast for Fri 24 Sep 2021 price 38.13

STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP stock price forecast for further price development down to -17.87% (time horizon: 1 day) and price target of 41.07 USD. Positive news sentiment. Short-term (time horizon: 2 weeks) STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP share price prediction for 2021-09-24 with daily closed price projections

Key Facts

Symbol STFC 

ISIN US8557071052 

CUSIP 855707105


Currency USD


Category Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Forecast price change %


News sentiment (0.33)

Finance numbers

Revenue 1,679,800,000.0


Earnings per share 3.00


Dividends 0.40

On our site we made daily predictions for finance products based on statistical analysis. You can export / download forecasted data as CSV file, no login required. The information can be used for day trading.

The forecast (dashed curve) of the share price performance is based on historical data. Our forecast model is based on mathematical, statistical methods. The website offers price forecasts and analysis tools for equities and other securities, which are exclusively based on the prices of these securities in the past. Information about these prices is provided to us by third parties. Although we believe, If we believe that our sources are reliable, we cannot guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness and correct sequencing of this information. We do not investigate the issuers of the securities to which our forecasts relate, nor do we consider any financial data or other data of such issuers with the exception of the past prices of the securities. Therefore, our forecasts do not constitute an analysis of other commercial or financial factors or circumstances, that may be relevant for future security price flows. Investments require additional considerations. Our forecasts cannot reflect the specific situation. Experience and risk profile of an individual investor or the tax implications an investment may have for the investor. Although we believe that our mathematical models are a tool to try to explore the possibility for future price development with the help of past performance, such developments are subject to a multitude of different influences. and therefore not really predictable. We cannot guarantee the success of any investment you make based on the information published here. This website is for information purposes only. All information and data on this website cannot be guaranteed to be accurate, accuracy, completeness and appropriateness - neither explicit nor implicit.

Summerized Form 10-K with GPT-2

Forward-looking statements speak only as the date the statements were made. STFC Pooled Companies Refers to State Auto P&C, Milbank, and SA Ohio. A combined ratio under 100% generally indicates an underwriting profit. Standard insurance Insurance which is typically written by admitted insurers. Our personal and commercial insurance segments are comprised of standard insurance. The operations of the State Auto Group are headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. Inner Circle Agencies are rewarded with additional incentives. Claims handling and reporting guidelines are established and provided to each TPA. Our loss reserves are not discounted to present value. The property and casualty insurance industry is also affected by court decisions. At the foundation of our culture is mutual respect and trust for one another. We become more inclusive by not wasting a single voice. In that case, the market price of our stock could decline materially. We should complete the rollout for these three lines in all states by the end of 2021. All of our new business sales should be on the Connect platform by the end of 2021. These agents 18are accessed by clients via the Internet and do not have retail locations. An influx of agencies are joining larger independent network agencies. Many of these items are not directly quantifiable, particularly on a prospective basis. We view fracking as a potential emerging risk facing the industry. We rely on services and products provided by various vendors. These threats come in a variety of forms, such as viruses and malicious software. Controls employed by these vendors may prove inadequate. The personal lines products are influenced by a collection of loss cost trends. Economic conditions affect consumer behavior. Vacated homes and business properties pose increased insurance industry risk. Retentions and deductibles may be exhausted more quickly. Court decisions have also negated legal reforms passed by state legislatures. Our portfolio also contains a number of securities issued by corporations. As a result, our portfolio could suffer permanent loss of capital. These lawsuits are in various stages of development. Index100.00 115.63 119.32 109.16 138.32 139.62 Item 6. Selected Consolidated Financial DataNot applicable. Our net premium growth of 10.7% was above the industry average. None of our Pooled Companies currently intends to terminate the Pooling Arrangement. 8226;The SAP catastrophe loss and ALAE ratio was 14.9%, or $206.2 million. This nonparallel change would alter the value of the fixed maturity portfolio. We do not maintain a trading portfolio. Prepayment of the 2018 FHLB Loan would require a prepayment fee. The State Auto Group is responsible for catastrophe losses above $270.0 million. Under the current Pooling Arrangement, STFC will recover 35% of these payments. These methods are described below. They are primarily relied upon for certain auto coverages. The group Medicare advantage program is less than half the cost of the self-insured plan. These estimates by their nature are subject to uncertainties for various reasons.d. Anticipated salvage and subrogation is estimated using historical experience. PremiumsPremiums are recognized as earned pro rata over the policy period. This had no impact on the underwriting results or cash flows of the Company. The FHLB Loans have been placed in Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. See Note 4 for the notes receivable fair value discussion.d. At December 31, 2020, t

Summerized Form 10-K with GPT-2 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/874977/000087497721000035/0000874977-21-000035.txt
Candlestick patterns

Candlestick patterns can be used as additional information for price prediction. Following list show which pattern applies on latest price information.

  • Meta analyst score 48.87/100
    • Good financial position.
    • Historical view, profit is not growing.
    • Company revenue is not growing faster compared with the industry.

Institutional ownership list is based on filling form information

Holding name Date Amount
CREATIVE FINANCIAL DESIGNS INC /ADV 2021-06-30 431
Baystate Wealth Management LLC 2021-06-30 540
GRACE & WHITE INC /NY 2021-06-30 110146
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA (RY, RY-PT, RYMTF) 2021-03-31 1490
Field & Main Bank 2021-06-30 10195

Fund ownership list is based on filling form information

Fund name Date Amount Profile
Fidelity Concord Street Trust 2021-05-31 29642 Long
VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL EQUITY INDEX FUNDS 2021-04-30 6500 Long
Fidelity Salem Street Trust 2021-04-30 122182 Long
FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST 2021-04-30 6563 Long
BlackRock Funds 2021-04-30 1125 Long

Insider trading for STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP

CIK Name Date Action T-Test 1day T-Test 7day T-Test 14day T-Test 30day
1658457 Garland Kim Burton 2020-12-10 BUY Accept Accept Reject Accept
1658456 Stachura Paul M 2020-11-16 BUY Accept Accept Accept Accept
1205167 Larocco Michael 2020-11-30 BUY Accept Accept Reject Accept
1721409 Berkey Jason Earl 2020-12-02 BUY Accept Accept 0 0

STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP Short Volume Ratio is shown in the diagram. Short volume sales can be seen as an investor sentiment.


On-Balance Volume information for STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP. On-Balance Volume information can be an indicator for bullish or bearish outcome.


Accumulation / Distribution (A/D) indicator information for STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP. The indicator identify divergences between price and volume flow.


Aroon Oscillator information for STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP. The trend-following indicator can show the strengh of a current trend and likelihood that trend can continue.


Average Directional Index (ADX) information for STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP. The index can be used to identify the strengh of a trend.


Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP. The indicator helps to predict trend direction and the momentum of the trend.


Stochastic Oscillator as momentum indicator for STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP. The indicator is useful for identifying overbought and oversold levels.


Relative Strength Index (RSI) for STATE AUTO FINANCIAL CORP. RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price development. The momentum indicator was created by analyst Welles Wilder. The result compares recent gains and losses over restricted time period. Primary usage of the indicator is to identify overbought or oversold signals. When RSI indicator reaches a value of 70 it could mean that speculators should consider selling, suggests Wilder and Chong. Or vice versa when selling excess at which the RSI Indicators show a value of 30 [ Relative Strength Index for Developing Effective Trading Strategies in Constructing Optimal Portfolio ].


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Figure below show the stock predictions.
Date Closing price Prediction was updated
2021-09-06 41.07 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-07 40.77 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-08 40.56 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-09 40.35 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-15 39.32 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-16 39.06 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-17 39.14 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-06 46.05 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-22 38.86 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-20 39.32 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-21 39.26 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-24 38.13 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-02 45.79 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-03 41.88 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-23 38.41 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-04 40.83 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-05 43.66 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-09 45.67 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-10 45.45 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-11 44.90 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-12 44.60 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-13 44.37 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-16 44.24 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-17 44.03 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-18 43.81 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-19 43.67 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-20 43.29 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-23 43.38 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-24 43.94 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-25 44.42 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-26 43.72 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-27 42.18 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-30 41.24 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-08-31 41.17 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-01 41.51 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-02 41.55 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-03 41.35 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-10 40.18 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-13 39.97 2021-07-31 03:04
2021-09-14 39.70 2021-07-31 03:04